内容简介
PART ONE BACKGROUND
1 Understanding Investments
An Overall Perspective on Investing
Establishing a Framework for Investing
Some Definitions
A Perspective on Investing in Financial Assets
Why Do We Invest?
The Importance of Studying Investments
The Personal Aspects
Investments as a Profession
Understanding the Investment Decision Process
The Basis of Investment Decisions—Return and Risk
Structuring the Decision Process
Important Considerations in the Investment Decision Process for Today's Investors
The Great Unknown
The Global Investments Arena
The Importance of the Internet
Individual Investors Versus Institutional Investors
Ethics in Investing
Organizing the Text
Summary
2 Investment Alternatives
Organizing Financial Assets
Direct Investing
An International Perspective
Nonmarketable Financial Assets
Money Market Securities
The Treasury Bill
Money Market Rates
Fixed-Income Securities
Bonds
Types of Bonds
Asset-Backed Securities
Rates on Fixed-Income Securities
Equity Securities
Preferred Stock
Common Stock
Investing Internationally in Equities
Derivative Securities
Options
Futures Contracts
A Final Note
Summary
3 Indirect Investing
Investing Indirectly
What Is an Investment Company?
Types of Investment Companies
Unit Investment Trusts
Exchange-Traded Funds(ETFs)
Closed-End Investment Companies
Open-End Investment Companies(Mutual Funds)
Types of Mutual Funds
Money Market Funds
Equity Funds,Bond Funds,and Hybrid Funds
The Mechanics of Investing Indirectly
Closed-End Funds
Mutual Funds
Exchange-Traded Funds
Investment Company Performance
Measures of Fund Performance
Morningstar Ratings
Benchmarks
How Important are Expenses in Affecting Performance?
Some Conclusions About Fund Performance
Investing Internationally Through Investment Companies
Fund Categories for International Investing
The Future of Indirect Investing
Fund Supermarkets
Separately Managed Accounts
Hedge Funds
Summary
4 Securities Markets
The Importance of Financial Markets
The Primary Markets
Initial Public Offerings(IPOs)
The Investment Banker
Global Investment Banking
Private Placements
The Secondary Markets
U.S. Securities Markets for the Trading of Equities
The New York Stock Exchange
American Stock Exchange
The NASDAQ Stock Market
Comparisons of the Three Major Equity Markets
Regional Exchanges
Over-the-Counter Stocks
Electronic Communications Networks(ECNs)
In-House Trading
Foreign Markets
Stock Market Indexes
The Dow Jones Averages
Standard & Poor's Stock Price Indexes
Understanding a Capitalization-Weighted Index
NASDAQ Indexes
Other Indexes
Relationships Between Domestic Stock Indexes
Foreign Stock Market Indicators
Bond Markets
Treasury Bonds
Agency Bonds
Municipal Bonds
Corporate Bonds
The Changing Bond Market
Derivatives Markets
The Changing Securities Markets
The National Market System(NMS)
The Intermarket Trading System(ITS)
Changes in U.S. Markets
The Globalization of Securities Markets
Summary
5 How Securities Are Traded
Brokerage Transactions
Brokerage Firms
Brokerage Accounts
Commissions
Investing Without a Broker
How Orders Work
Orders on the Organized Exchanges
Orders in the NASDAQ Stock Market
Decimalization of Stock Prices
Types of Orders
Clearing Procedures
Investor Protection in the Securities Markets
Government Regulation
Self-Regulation
Other Investor Protections
Margin
How Margin Accounts Can be Used
Margin Requirements and Obligations
Margin Requirements on Other Securities
Some Misconceptions About Margin
Short Sales
Selling Short as an Investor
Summary
PART TWO PORTFOLIO AND CAPITAL MARKET THEORY
6 Returns and Risks from Investing
An Overview
Return
The Two Components of Return
Risk
Sources of Risk
Measuring Returns
Total Return
Return Relative
Cumulative Wealth Index
Taking a Global Perspective
International Returns and Currency Risk
Summary Statistics for Returns
Arithmetic Mean
Geometric Mean
Arithmetic Mean Versus Geometric Mean
Inflation-Adjusted Returns
Measuring Risk
Variance and Standard Deviation
Risk Premiums
Realized Returns and Risks from Investing
Total Returns and Standard Deviations for the Major Financial Assets
Cumulative Wealth Indexes
The Components of Cumulative Wealth
Compounding and Discounting
Summary
7 Portfolio Theory
Dealing with Uncertainty
Using Probabilities
Probability Distributions
Calculating Expected Return for a Security
Calculating Risk for a Security
Introduction to Modern Portfolio Theory(MPT)
Portfolio Return and Risk
Portfolio Expected Return
Portfolio Risk
Analyzing Portfolio Risk
Risk Reduction—The Insurance Principle
Diversification
The Components of Portfolio Risk
The Correlation Coefficient
Covariance
Relating the Correlation Coefficient and the Covariance
Calculating Portfolio Risk
The Two-Security Case
The n-Security Case
The Importance of Covariance
Obtaining the Data
Simplifying the Markowitz Calculations
Summary
8 Portfolio Selection
Building a Portfolio Using Markowitz Principles
Identifying Optimal Risk-Return Combinations
Selecting an Optimal Portfolio of Risky Assets
The Global Perspective—International Diversification
Some Important Conclusions About the Markowitz Model
Alternative Methods of Obtaining the Efficient Frontier
The Single-Index Model
Multi-Index Models
Selecting Optimal Asset Classes—The Asset Allocation Decision
Some Major Asset Classes
Combining Asset Classes
Asset Allocation and the Individual Investor
Owning Stocks and Bonds
Return and Risk Combinations
Life-Cycle Analysis
The Impact of Diversification on Risk
Systematic and Nonsystematic Risk
How Many Securities are Enough to Diversify Properly?
The Implications of Reducing Risk by Holding Portfolios
Summary
9 Asset Pricing Models
Capital Market Theory
Capital Market Theory Assumptions
Introduction of the Risk-Free Asset
Risk-Free Borrowing and Lending
The Equilibrium Return-Risk Trade-off
The Capital Market Line
The Security Market Line
Beta
The CAPM's Expected Return—Beta Relationship
Over-and-Undervalued Securities
Estimating the SML
Estimating Beta
Tests of the.CAPM
Arbitrage Pricing Theory
The Law of One Price
Assumptions of APT
Factor Models
Understanding the APT Model
Identifying the Factors
Using APT in Investment Decisions
Some Conclusions about Asset Pricing
Summary
PART THREE COMMON STOCKS:ANALYSIS,VALUATION,AND MANAGEMENT
10 Common Stock Valuation
Overview
Discounted Cash Flow Techniques
Two DCF Approaches
The Dividend Discount Model
Dividends Dividends—What about Capital Gains?
The Dividend Discount Model in Practice
Other Discounted Cash Flow Approaches
Intrinsic Value and Market Price
Relative Valuation Techniques
The P/E Ratio or Earnings Multiplier Approach
Price/Book Value
Price/Sales Ratio(PRS)
Economic Value Added
Which Approach to Use?
Bursting the Bubble on New Economy Stocks—A Lesson in Valuation
Some Final Thoughts on Valuation
Summary
11 Common Stocks:Analysis and Strategy
Taking a Global Perspective
Analyzing Some Important Issues Involving Common Stocks
The Impact of the Overall Market on Individual Stocks
The Required Rate of Return
Building Stock Portfolios
The Passive Strategy
Buy-and-Hold Strategy
Index Funds
The Active Strategy
Security Selection
Sector Rotation
Market Timing
Rational Markets and Active Strategies
A Simple Strategy—The Coffeehouse Portfolio
Summary
12 Market Efficiency
Overview
The Concept of an Efficient Market
What is an Efficient Market?
Why The U.S. Stock Market can be Expected to be Efficient
The International Perspective
Forms of Market Efficiency
How to Test for Market Efficiency
Weak-Form Tests
Semistrong-Form Tests
Strong-Form Evidence
Behavioral Finance and Market Anomalies
Earnings Announcements
Low P/E Ratios
The Size Effect
The January Effect
The Value Line Ranking System
Other Anomalies
Some Conclusions about Market Efficiency
Data Mining
Some Remaining Issues
Behavioral Finance and Efficient Markets
A Final Argument for Market Efficiency
Summary
PART FOUR SECURITY ANALYSIS
13 Economy/Market Analysis
Taking a Global Perspective
Assessing the Economy
The Business Cycle
Forecasts of the Economy
Understanding the Stock Market
What Do We Mean by the "Market"?
Making Market Forecasts
Focus on the Important Variables
Using the Business Cycle to Make Market Forecasts
Other Approaches to Assessing the Market's Direction
Summary
14 Sector/Industry Analysis
What Is an Industry?
Classifying Industries
A New Classification System—NAICS
Other Industry Classifications
The Importance of Sector/Industry Analysis
Why Industry Analysis is Important Over the Long Run
Industry Performance Over Shorter Periods
How One Industry Can Have a Major Impact on Investors—The Telecom Industry
Cross-Sectional Volatility Has Increased
Analyzing Sectors/Industries
The Industry Life Cycle
Qualitative Aspects of Industry Analysis
Using Sector/Industry Analysis as an Investor
Sector Rotation
Evaluating Future Industry Prospects
Business Cycle Analysis
Picking Industries for Next Year
Summary
15 Company Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
The Accounting Aspects of Earnings
The Financial Statements
The Problems with EPS
Has the Situation Improved?
The Global Arena—International Accounting
Analyzing a Company's Profitability
Analyzing Return on Equity(ROE)
Analyzing Return on Assets(ROA)
Using ROE—Estimating the Internal(Sustainable)Growth Rate
Earnings Estimates
A Forecast of EPS
The Accuracy of Earnings Forecasts
Earnings Surprises
Earnings Guidance
The Earnings Game
Useful Information for Investors about Earnings Estimates
Sales Growth—An Alternative to Earnings
The P/E Ratio
Which P/E Ratio is Being Used?
Determinants of the P/E Ratio
Why P/E Ratios Vary Among Companies
The PEG Ratio
Fundamental Security Analysis in Practice
Summary
16 Technical Analysis
What Is Technical Analysis?
A Framework for Technical Analysis
Stock Price and Volume Techniques
The Dow Theory
Charts of Price Patterns
Moving Averages
Relative Strength
Using the Computer for Technical Analysis
Technical Indicators
Breadth Indicators
Sentiment Indicators
Testing Technical Analysis Strategies
The EBB and Flow of Technical Analysis
Some Conclusions about Technical Analysis
Summary
PART FIVE FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES:ANALYSIS, VALUATION,AND MANAGEMENT
17 Bond Yields and Prices
Bond Yields
The Basic Components of Interest Rates
Measuring Bond Yields
Bond Prices
The Valuation Principle
Bond Valuation
Bond Price Changes
Bond Price Changes Over Time
Bond Price Changes as a Result of Interest Rate Changes
Measuring Bond Price Volatility: Duration
Summary
18 Bonds:Analysis and Strategy
Why Buy Bonds?
Buying Foreign Bonds
Important Considerations in Managing a Bond Portfolio
Understanding the Bond Market
The Term Structure of Interest Rates
The Risk Structure of Interest Rates—Yield Spreads
Bond Strategies
Passive Management Strategies
Immunization—A Structured Portfolio Strategy
Active Management Strategies
Building a Fixed-Income Portfolio
Conservative Investors
Aggressive Investors
The International Perspective
Summary
PART SIX DERIVATIVE SECURITIES
19 Options
Why Have Derivative Securities?
Why Options Markets?
Introduction to Options
Understanding Options
Options Terminology
How Options Work
The Mechanics of Trading
Payoffs and Profits from Basic Option Positions
Calls
Puts
Some Basic Options Strategies
Covered Calls
Protective Puts
Portfolio Insurance
Option Valuation
A General Framework
Intrinsic Values and Time Values
Boundaries on Option Prices
The Black-Scholes Model
Put Option Valuation
Summarizing the Factors Affecting Options Prices
Hedge Ratios
Using the Black-Scholes Model
An Investor's Perspective on Puts and Calls
What Puts and Calls Mean to Investors
The Evolutionary Use of Options
Stock-Index Options
The Basics of Stock-Index Options
Strategies with Stock-Index Options
The Popularity of Stock-Index Options
Summary
20 Futures
Understanding Futures Markets
Why Futures Markets ?
Current U.S. Futures Markets
Foreign Futures Markets
Futures Contracts
The Structure of Futures Markets
Futures Exchanges
The Clearinghouse
The Mechanics of Trading
Basic Procedures
Margin
Using Futures Contracts
Hedgers
How to Hedge with Futures
Speculators
Financial Futures
Interest Rate Futures
Stock-Index Futures
Single Stock Futures
Summary
PART SEVEN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
21 Portfolio Management
Portfolio Management as a Process
Individual Investors Versus Institutional Investors
Formulate an Appropriate Investment Policy
Objectives
Constraints and Preferences
Determine and Quantify Capital Market Expectations
Forming Expectations
Rate of Return Assumptions
Developing and Implementing Investing Strategies
Asset Allocation
Portfolio Optimization
Monitor Market Conditions and Investor Circumstances
Monitoring Market Conditions
Changes in Investor's Circumstances
Rebalancing the Portfolio
Performance Measurement
Summary
22 Evaluation of Investment Performance
A Framework for Evaluating and Assessing Portfolio Performance
Performance Measurement Issues
Three Questions to Answer in Measuring Portfolio Performance
Return Calculations
Risk Considerations
Performance Benchmarks and Performance Universes
Performance Universes
Performance Benchmarks
Risk-Adjusted Measures of Performance
The Sharpe Performance Measure
The Treynor Performance Measure
Jensen's Differential Return Measure
M2
Style Analysis and Performance Attribution
Style Analysis
Performance Attribution
Money Managers and Performance Presentations
An Overview on Performance Evaluation
Summary